🏛 Market Backdrop7/6 close
| | SPY S&P 500 $751.28 Day+0.87% Index7,537.43 (+0.72%) |
| | | QQQ Nasdaq-100 $722.82 Day+1.43% Composite26,121.16 (+1.12%) |
| | | IWM Russell 2000 $298.90 Day+0.44% 20D +2.36%Grinding higher |
| | | SMH Semiconductor ETF $604.30 Day+2.03% Bounced off lows, still -1.20% over 5D |
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🌡 Macro Risk Signals7/6 close · Futu / CNN actuals
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VIX / VXN volatility
VIX 15.57 -3.59%
VXN 26.81 -4.18%
VIX eased further to 15.57; VXN fell back from 27.98 to 26.81 — last week's widening VIX/VXN spread is starting to converge, tech-specific fear cooling as AI hardware rallies; the vol structure is stabilizing overall.
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10Y / 2Y Treasury yields
~4.48%
10Y Holding near highs
10Y yield flat at ~4.48%; after the weak payrolls print the market awaits the 7/8 FOMC minutes and 7/15 CPI — rates elevated but no longer rising, pressure on growth stocks neutral for now.
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DXY Dollar / WTI Crude
100.86
Dollar (day)Flat
DXY 100.86 flat; USO crude ETF +0.36%closed 104.35, still -23.69% over 20D; oil keeps churning at low levels after the holiday, inflation pressure keeps easing.
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Fear & Greed Index
~55-62, neutral-greedy
Leaning greedy, still recovering
CNN F&G estimated to keep climbing from 52-58 to ~55-62 (neutral to greedy): Dow at another record + all three indexes up + VIX/VXN both down + breadth still bullish (116:82) — sentiment fully repaired.(not an official real-time value; estimated range)
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S&P 500 valuation
PE ~25.1 (trailing)
Fwd PE ~21.7
Index +0.72% to 7,537.43; fwd P/E ~21.7 still above the 10-yr mean of 18.9 — valuations stay rich, with Q2 earnings season (banks kick off 7/14) starting the profit-validation phase next week.(not an official real-time value)
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Nasdaq-100 valuation
PE ~32.2 (trailing)
Fwd PE ~25.0
QQQ +1.43% rebound, multiple back up to ~32.2; AI hardware counterattack + megacaps up together (META +2.98% / GOOGL +1.82% / AAPL +1.31%), though MSFT -0.96% bucked the move.(not an official real-time value)
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📅 Earnings / Major Events — Next 2 Weeks7/6 - 7/20
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📌 Key tech / consumer earnings
| This week | Last quiet week before earnings · focus on AI narrative repair Final lull before Q2 earnings; market digests the bounce after the two-day memory/equipment selloff plus the 7/8 FOMC minutes — watch whether the AI-hardware rally extends. |
| 7/14 (Tue) ⭐⭐ | Q2 earnings season opens · big banks JPMorgan / Citi / Wells Fargo lead off Q2 earnings; focus on net interest income, credit quality and consumer resilience. |
| 7/15 (Wed) ⭐⭐ | Goldman / Morgan Stanley + second wave of banks Investment-banking / IPO recovery is the focus (GS +3.36% / MS +3.82% on 7/6 front-ran it); same day as June CPI — volatility can amplify. |
| 7/16 (Thu) ⭐⭐ | Netflix after close + TSMC / ASML week NFLX Q2 after the close; TSMC / ASML results are the first fundamental checkpoint after the memory/equipment crash-and-rebound (TSM +4.06% on 7/6 front-ran it). |
| 7/22 (Wed) ⭐⭐ | Tesla Q2 earnings After Q2 deliveries of 480K crushed estimates + Robotaxi's Miami expansion, margins and per-unit economics are key; 7/6's +6.69% already recouped most of the sell-the-news drop. |
| Keep watching | Durability of the memory/equipment rebound After WDC +7.14% / STX +5.86% / MU stabilized, can the bounce hold into the 7/16 TSMC / ASML earnings test; watch re-rotation risk on the momentum board from defensives back to tech. |
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📊 Macro / policy events
| 7/8 (Wed) ⭐ | FOMC meeting minutes June minutes out at 14:00; after payrolls of just +57K, the committee's weighing of cooling jobs vs sticky inflation is the key focus. |
| 7/15 (Wed) ⭐⭐ | June CPI Most critical inflation print before the 7/28-29 FOMC, in the same week as big-bank earnings; with jobs already cooling, CPI sets the tone for the rate path. |
| 7/16 (Thu) | June retail sales + PPI A test of consumer resilience; after weak payrolls, retail data becomes more decisive for the soft-landing vs cooling-too-fast read. |
| 7/28-29 (Tue-Wed) ⭐⭐ | FOMC rate decision ★ late-month main event July rate decision; after +57K payrolls and a falling participation rate, focus is on the Fed's response to labor cooling and the H2 path. |
| Keep watching | AI capex narrative vs memory supply worries Anthropic–Samsung 2nm chatter, QCOM's reported Modular talks, BlackRock's core-30 AI list — the AI narrative is healing, but the "capex peaks in 2026" thesis hasn't gone away; earnings season retests it. |
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💡 Key Observations
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📈 Daily gainers (top 200 · 1D)
ANET +8.31%, WDC +7.14%, TSLA +6.69%, AMD +6.61%, HDB +6.33%, VRT +5.97%, STX +5.86%, QCOM +5.80%, DELL +4.43%, HOOD +4.28%. AI networking / memory & storage / semis / AI servers rallied across the board — the groups hit hardest last week bounced the hardest.
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📉 Daily losers (top 200 · 1D)
DUK -2.80%, NVS -2.76%, UBER -2.70%, AZN -2.56%, CVS -2.52%, PFE -2.47%, BMY -2.46%, ABBV -2.42%, BUD -2.40%, ELV -2.33%. Pharma / utilities / defensives gave it all back — last Friday's defensive catch-up stocks became the market's ATM.
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🔎 Key story 1: ANET +8.31% — AI networking upgrades across the street
ANET +8.31% closed $173.28 (5D +9.95%, 20D turned positive at +4.38%): KeyBanc / BofA / Morgan Stanley all lifted targets into the $190-200 range, and BlackRock named Arista one of the most important 30 AI stocks — strong AI Ethernet demand + tight supply narratives reinforcing each other. AI-infra peers VRT +5.97% and DELL +4.43% surged in tandem — the most direct rebuttal of last week's "AI capex peak" panic.
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🔎 Key story 2: TSLA +6.69% — Robotaxi expands to Miami
TSLA +6.69% closed $419.77 (5D +10.55%, back on the 5D momentum board): Robotaxi self-driving service expands to Miami, Florida — most of the -7.49% sell-the-news drop after 7/2's delivery beat was recouped in one day. QCOM +5.80% also rode the AI theme (Benchmark reiterated Buy, street-high $300 target + reported talks to buy AI-infra software firm Modular); TSLA's 7/22 Q2 report will test margins and the Robotaxi story.
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🔎 Focus stocks: ANET / MU / SNDK / NVDAAI networking leads vs memory stabilizing
| | ANET Arista Networks — $173.28 (7/6+8.31%)AI networking leader • Momentum: 5D+9.95%, 10D+2.13%, 20D+4.38%, YTD+32.24%, mkt cap$218.2B • surged +8.31%Top of the whole list: KeyBanc / BofA / MS all raised targets; BlackRock named it a core-30 AI stock. • Fwd P/E 38.9 (upper end of networking's 15-45 band), TTM net income $3.7B (through 3/31); AI Ethernet order visibility is the key to further upside. |
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| | MU Micron — $984.75 (7/6+0.94%)Stabilizing below the $1,000 mark • Momentum: 5D-13.03%, 10D-13.16%, 20D-1.13%, YTD+245.03%, mkt cap$1.11T • stabilized +0.94%: first green close after the two-day -15.5% rout; the memory price-hike narrative is back (WDC +7.14% / STX +5.86% led the bounce). • Fwd P/E just 6.6, deep-value territory; TTM net income $50.5B (through 5/28); 5D/10D still -13% — the rebound needs time to repair. |
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| | SNDK SanDisk — $1,744.43 (7/6-0.03%)Flat, stabilizing • Momentum: 5D-16.56%, 10D-20.15%, 20D-0.87%, YTD+634.87%, mkt cap$258.3B • -0.03% flat: found support after a two-day -23.3% collapse, selling pressure exhausted; the NAND spot price-hike narrative is regaining attention. • Fwd P/E 8.5, value territory; TTM net income $4.5B (through 4/3); as a pure NAND play it has the most torque — and the wildest swings. |
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| | NVDA Nvidia — $195.55 (7/6+0.37%)Lagging the rebound • Momentum: 5D+1.57%, 10D-7.19%, 20D-10.57%, YTD+4.85%, mkt cap$4.73T(top of the Top 200) • just +0.37%: lagged on the broad AI-hardware rally day (SMH +2.03%, AMD +6.61%) as money first chased beaten-down smaller caps. • Fwd P/E 15.3, TTM net income $159.6B (through 4/26); its market-cap lead over AAPL is only 3% — the megacap throne battle continues. |
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| 🚀 Momentum Picks: 5 NamesSelection logic: momentum × relative valuation, two factors — 5D/10D/20D all strong in sync, with Fwd P/E inside the industry's reasonable band (a valuation gate screens out the overpriced), ranked by momentum strength × valuation cheapness; ignores revenue/earnings/story. |
| | 1HOOD RobinhoodBrokerage / fintech 5D +19.11%10D +8.69%20D +33.08%Fwd P/E 39.7, reasonableMkt cap $105.9B Four straight strong days + best 20D on the whole list: 5D/10D/20D (19.1/8.7/33.1) all positive, another +4.28% on 7/6 to stay atop the 20D board; Fwd 39.7 is reasonable for a growth broker — first for both momentum purity and strength, repeats at #1. |
| | 2PANW Palo AltoCybersecurity 5D +17.53%10D +24.24%20D +28.03%Fwd P/E 86.8, upper bandMkt cap $291.4B Strongest medium-term momentum: 5D/10D/20D (17.5/24.2/28.0) all elevated and aligned, best composite momentum on the list, +2.72% more on 7/6; Fwd 86.8 sits at the top of the security band (40-90) — richness is the only demerit, so #2. |
| | 3VRTX Vertex PharmaceuticalsPharma / biotech 5D +7.78%10D +17.26%20D +19.89%Fwd P/E 24.7, reasonableMkt cap $134.4B Held firm on pharma give-back day: 5D/10D/20D (7.8/17.3/19.9) all aligned; still closed +0.29% green on 7/6 while pharma broadly retreated — standout relative strength; Fwd 24.7 is reasonable-to-cheap for pharma, #3. |
| | 4SPGI S&P GlobalFinancial data / ratings 5D +15.82%10D +15.04%20D +12.52%Fwd P/E 21.9, reasonableMkt cap $132.4B Balanced momentum across all three windows + kept rising on a defensives-down day: 5D/10D/20D (15.8/15.0/12.5) in a steady ladder, +1.67% on 7/6 against the defensive slump, up to #4 on the 5D board; Fwd 21.9 reasonable for financial data — new entrant at #4. |
| | 5SCHW Charles SchwabBrokerage / fintech 5D +10.97%10D +9.73%20D +14.34%Fwd P/E 13.8 ★cheapMkt cap $175.0B The other broker of the pair + deep value: 5D/10D/20D (11.0/9.7/14.3) aligned, +3.73% surge on 7/6 to enter the 5D board; Fwd just 13.8 at the cheap end of financials, riding the same retail-trading heat as HOOD — new entrant at #5. |
* These Momentum Picks use a momentum + relative valuation two-factor ranking: universe is the top 200 by market cap, requiring 5D/10D/20D all positive and aligned, with each industry's reasonable Fwd P/E band as a valuation gate.7/6: top two HOOD / PANW repeat; VRTX rises to third; SPGI / SCHW newly join (financial data and brokerage — all three windows aligned + valuations reasonable-to-cheap); prior picks ABBV (5D down to +0.56) and NVO (5D +2.48) saw short momentum fade and drop to the watch bench; CRWD (Fwd 127.7) and GEV (46.9, above the power band's ceiling) were removed by the valuation gate; PGR / MCO / JNJ / CB / WELL / HCA are also aligned across all three windows and sit on the bench. All % are Yahoo 7/6 closing actuals (cross-checked against Futu); Fwd P/E is Yahoo's same-day value. High-momentum names pull back just as fast — set stops and position caps. For reference only; not investment advice.
📋 Full ListTop 200 by mkt cap · 20D gain > 20% · sorted by 20D
Semis · memory/CPUSemis · logic/ASIC/equipmentSoftware / securityNon-tech |Green= up on 7/6Red= down on 7/6 |Rank / streak: ▲▼= rank vs prior session (7/2 close); ★New= new to the board this period; +N= consecutive sessions on the board (incl. 7/6)
| Ticker / Name | Price | Chg (20D) | 1D (7/6) | 5D | 20D | YTD | Fwd P/E | Net income ($100M) | Mkt cap ($100M) | Rank / streak |
| HOOD RobinhoodBrokerage / fintech | 117.55 | | +4.28% | +19.11% | +33.08% | +3.93% | 39.7 | 19 through 3/31 | 1,059 | —+3 |
| PANW Palo AltoCybersecurity | 357.53 | | +2.72% | +17.53% | +28.03% | +94.10% | 86.8 | 8 through 4/30 | 2,914 | —+2 |
* The 20D > 20% main list shrank abruptly from 7 names to 2: HOOD (+33.08) tops the board a fourth straight day; PANW (+28.03) stays second; the names that entered last Friday on the defensive catch-up — VRTX (20D now +19.89) / AMAT (+18.16) / ABBV (+13.26) / NVO (+12.59) / PGR (+18.57) — all fell below the 20% bar and dropped off (7/6 pharma/defensive give-back + higher base).Net income= trailing four quarters (TTM), in $100M; "through M/D" is the latest fiscal quarter end, updated after the next report.
📋 Full List (5D momentum)Top 200 by mkt cap · 5D gain > 10% · sorted by 5D
Semis · memory/CPUSemis · logic/ASIC/equipmentSoftware / securityNon-tech |Green= up on 7/6Red= down on 7/6 |Rank / streak: ▲▼= rank vs prior session (7/2 close); ★New= new to the board this period; +N= consecutive sessions on the board (incl. 7/6)
| Ticker / Name | Price | Chg (5D) | 5D | 20D | 1D (7/6) | YTD | Fwd P/E | Net income ($100M) | Mkt cap ($100M) | Rank / streak |
| HOOD RobinhoodBrokerage / fintech | 117.55 | | +19.11% | +33.08% | +4.28% | +3.93% | 39.7 | 19 through 3/31 | 1,059 | —+3 |
| PANW Palo AltoCybersecurity | 357.53 | | +17.53% | +28.03% | +2.72% | +94.10% | 86.8 | 8 through 4/30 | 2,914 | ▲2+5 |
| PLTR PalantirAI software / analytics | 132.54 | | +17.36% | -6.46% | +2.51% | -25.43% | 63.3 | 23 through 3/31 | 3,177 | ▼1+3 |
| SPGI S&P GlobalFinancial data / ratings | 447.22 | | +15.82% | +12.52% | +1.67% | -9.54% | 21.9 | 48 through 3/31 | 1,324 | ▲3+2 |
| APP ApplovinAd software | 543.79 | | +13.98% | -2.70% | +3.17% | -19.30% | 25.1 | 39 through 3/31 | 1,827 | —+4 |
| CRWD CrowdStrikeEndpoint security | 199.38 | | +13.75% | +10.91% | +2.78% | +70.13% | 127.7 | -0.3 through 4/30 | 2,030 | ▲3+4 |
| SCHW Charles SchwabBrokerage / fintech | 100.62 | | +10.97% | +14.34% | +3.73% | +0.71% | 13.8 | 90 through 3/31 | 1,750 | ★New+1 |
| MCO Moody'sFinancial data / ratings | 498.78 | | +10.84% | +11.05% | +1.69% | -2.36% | 26.8 | 25 through 3/31 | 871 | ★New+1 |
| TSLA TeslaEV / AI | 419.77 | | +10.55% | +0.32% | +6.69% | -6.66% | 164.8 | 39 through 3/31 | 15,765 | ★New+1 |
| IBM IBMCloud / AI services | 299.52 | | +10.27% | -0.75% | +3.45% | +1.12% | 22.2 | 107 through 3/31 | 2,815 | ▲3+2 |
| GEV GE VernovaPower equipment / AI power | 1,152.04 | | +10.23% | +19.59% | +3.50% | +76.27% | 46.9 | 94 through 3/31 | 3,096 | ★New+1 |
| AAPL AppleConsumer electronics / iPhone | 312.66 | | +10.18% | +0.46% | +1.31% | +15.01% | 32.5 | 1,226 through 3/28 | 45,921 | —+2 |
* The 5D momentum board narrowed from 18 names to 12 (5D > 10%): HOOD repeats at #1 (+19.11), PANW rises to #2; SCHW / MCO / GEV newly join (financials and power — up on 7/6 with or against the tape), and TSLA (+10.55) returns on the Robotaxi Miami expansion; last week's software counterattack faded — NOW / DDOG / SNOW / ADBE / CRM / MSFT plus PDD / ADP / MA / SPOT, 10 names in all, dropped off (5D slipped back below 10%).Net income= trailing four quarters (TTM), in $100M ("through M/D" = latest fiscal quarter end); updated after the next report; * CRWD TTM net income ≈ -$30M (near breakeven).
🤖 AI Sub-sector BreakdownAfter 7/6 close · 20D averages
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🛡 AI security20D +15.8%
PANW +28.03, CRWD +10.91, FTNT +8.47. Still #1 and climbing from +11.5: all three rose 2.7-3.9% on 7/6 — software counterattack plus defensive traits, winning both ways.
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⚙ Semi equipment20D +8.9%
AMAT +18.16, KLAC +9.48, LRCX +4.10, ASML +3.85. ASML +3.15% led the bounce; AMAT / KLAC / LRCX rebounded mildly; 20D flat at +8.9.
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⚡ AI power infrastructure20D +7.6%
GEV +19.59, APH +13.65, ETN -1.24, VRT -1.68. Recovering from +3.2: VRT +5.97% / GEV +3.50% jumped; GEV newly joined the 5D momentum board.
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🧠 Memory / HDD20D -2.0%
WDC +0.34, SNDK -0.87, MU -1.13, STX -6.23. Sharply recovered from -9.1: WDC +7.14% / STX +5.86% bounced, MU / SNDK stabilized; 20D nearing positive.
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💻 CPU / mobile silicon20D -6.6%
INTC +9.32, AMD +5.51, ARM -18.10, QCOM -23.12. Clearly recovering from -12.7: AMD +6.61% / QCOM +5.80% led the bounce, though ARM / QCOM 20D remain deeply negative.
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🔗 Logic / ASIC / networking20D -8.1%
ANET +4.38, TXN -0.61, AVGO -10.74, CSCO -12.32, MRVL -21.22. ANET's upgrade-driven +8.31% flipped its 20D positive; AVGO +3.73% / TSM +4.06% bounced together; recovering from -13.5.
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☁ Software / AI cloud20D -10.9%
DDOG +4.83, APP -2.70, PLTR -6.46, NOW -9.58, CRM -12.24, ORCL -39.17. Last week's counterattack slowed as money went back to hardware; 20D still lagging.
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📊 Sub-sector strength ranking (20D avg) + key changes
AI security+15.8%> semi equipment+8.9%> AI power+7.6%> memory/HDD-2.0%> CPU/mobile silicon-6.6%> logic/ASIC/networking-8.1%> software/AI cloud-10.9%.Key change: all 7 sub-sectors improved on 20D on reopen day — memory/HDD recovered from -9.1 to -2.0 (biggest repair), CPU -12.7 → -6.6, logic/networking -13.5 → -8.1; security at +15.8 stays #1 and keeps widening. Last week's extreme split of "AI hardware crash, software/defensives up" is starting to mean-revert.
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📈 Breadth SnapshotTop 200 by mkt cap · 7/6 advancers/decliners
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Advancers
116
~58.0% (top-200 names, ETFs excluded)
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Decliners
82
~41.0%; concentrated in pharma / utilities / defensives
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A/D ratio / unchanged
1.41 : 1
2 unchanged; bullish for a second day (prior 132:67)
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* 7/6 breadth stays bullish: 116 up vs 82 down (A/D 1.41:1), a touch narrower than 7/2's 132:67 but the mix flipped completely — advancers are now semis / memory & storage / AI hardware / brokers, decliners now pharma / utilities / defensives. Two straight days of "index highs + majority breadth": money rotating rapidly across sectors, total flow undiminished.
🔁 7/2 → 7/6 Change Tracker
| Stock |
7/2 close (recomputed) |
7/6 close |
7/6 chg |
Key change |
| ANETArista | $159.99 | $173.28 | +8.31% | Top gainer on the whole list: KeyBanc / BofA / MS raised targets + BlackRock core-30 AI mention; 20D turned positive at +4.38 |
| WDCWestern Digital | $538.98 | $577.46 | +7.14% | Led the memory/storage bounce, NAND price-hike narrative back; 5D narrowed to -1.53, 20D first back positive at +0.34 |
| TSLATesla | $393.45 | $419.77 | +6.69% | Robotaxi expands to Miami; most of 7/2's sell-the-news drop recouped in one day; 5D +10.55, back on the 5D board |
| AMDAMD | $517.82 | $552.05 | +6.61% | Spearheaded the semi counterattack; $900.2B market cap re-approaching $1T; 20D holds positive at +5.51 |
| STXSeagate | $820.16 | $868.26 | +5.86% | HDD storage bounced in tandem; but 20D still -6.23, weakest in the memory/HDD group |
| QCOMQualcomm | $176.26 | $186.48 | +5.80% | Benchmark reiterated Buy (street-high $300) + reported talks to acquire AI-infra software Modular; 20D still deeply negative at -23.12 |
| HOODRobinhood | $112.73 | $117.55 | +4.28% | Strong a fourth straight day, 20D +33.08, repeats atop the 20D board + Momentum Pick #1 |
| MUMicron | $975.56 | $984.75 | +0.94% | First green close after the two-day -15.5% rout; Fwd P/E 6.6 deep value, market cap holds $1.11T |
| SNDKSanDisk | $1,745.00 | $1,744.43 | -0.03% | Flat and stabilizing after the two-day -23.3% collapse, selling exhausted; YTD still +634.87%, Fwd 8.5 value band |
| NVDANvidia | $194.83 | $195.55 | +0.37% | Lagged on AI-hardware rally day (SMH +2.03%); $4.73T cap keeps #1, lead over AAPL just 3% |
* 7/2→7/6 (7/3 holiday in between): the regime flipped completely from "defensive catch-up + AI hardware selloff" to "broad AI-hardware counterattack + defensive give-back" — last week's hardest-hit ANET / WDC / TSLA / AMD / STX / QCOM bounced 5.8-8.3% while pharma/utilities gave back 2.3-2.8%. The 20D main list shrank from 7 names to 2 (5 defensives fell below the bar). Prior-day close recomputed = 7/6 close ÷ (1 + 7/6 %chg).
📝 SummaryCore conclusions after the 7/6 close
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① Market structure: all three major indexes rose on reopen day — Dow +0.29% to 53,055.91, first close above 53K, another record high; S&P +0.72% to 7,537.43; Nasdaq +1.12% to 26,121.16; SMH +2.03% bounced off lows. VIX 15.57 / VXN 26.81 both fell, last week's widening spread starting to converge; breadth 116:82 bullish a second day — but the mix is a perfect mirror of last Friday: a rotation market, not a trend market.
② Theme 1: AI hardware confidence repair day: the AI hardware chain hammered last week counterattacked across the board — ANET +8.31% (upgrade wave + BlackRock core-30 AI list), WDC +7.14% / STX +5.86% (memory/storage stabilized and bounced), AMD +6.61% / QCOM +5.80% (Benchmark $300 + reported Modular talks), VRT +5.97% / DELL +4.43% / TSM +4.06% / AVGO +3.73%. Asia's V-turn during the holiday (Anthropic–Samsung 2nm chatter) previewed the repair script; US stocks delivered on 7/6 as scripted.
③ Theme 2: memory duo stabilizes, periphery bounces first: MU +0.94%closed green the first day after the two-day rout; SNDK -0.03%held flat with support; the bounce was led by HDD periphery WDC / STX while the pure-memory duo merely stabilized — 5D (MU -13.03 / SNDK -16.56) and 10D still deeply negative as the market waits for 7/16 TSMC / ASML results and NAND / HBM contract-price confirmation. Fwd P/Es (MU 6.6 / SNDK 8.5) remain deep value.
④ Theme 3: defensives give back, TSLA story takes the baton: last Friday's catch-up pharma / utility / defensive names became the ATM — AZN -2.56% / CVS -2.52% / PFE -2.47% / ABBV -2.42% / NVO -2.32% / DUK -2.80%, sweeping VRTX / ABBV / NVO / PGR straight off the 20D list.TSLA +6.69% (Robotaxi Miami expansion) recouped most of 7/2's sell-the-news drop in a day, 5D +10.55 back on the momentum board; the 7/22 report will test the story's substance.
⑤ List changes: the 20D main list shrank abruptly from 7 names to 2 (HOOD +33.08 tops a fourth straight day, PANW +28.03; VRTX / AMAT / ABBV / NVO / PGR fell below the 20% bar). The 5D board went 18 → 12 (SCHW / MCO / GEV / TSLA new; NOW / DDOG / SNOW and other software/defensives — 10 names — out). Momentum Picks: HOOD / PANW hold the top two, VRTX up to third, SPGI / SCHW newly join (ABBV / NVO faded to the bench; CRWD / GEV removed by the valuation gate). AI sub-sectors:
⑥ Conclusion & this week's playbook: reopen day confirmed "last week's selloff = rotation, not withdrawal" — AI hardware repaired most of its losses in a day, the Dow still made a new high, and both vol gauges fell. But the bounce was led by periphery and story stocks while the memory duo and NVDA merely stabilized; the real fundamental test is the 7/16 TSMC / ASML earnings week. This week's rhythm: 7/8 FOMC minutes (the Fed's read after weak payrolls) → 7/14-15 bank earnings kickoff + June CPI → 7/16 NFLX + TSMC / ASML. Tactically watch: (1) whether the AI-hardware bounce spreads from periphery (ANET / WDC) back to the core (MU / SNDK / NVDA); (2) whether the defensive give-back turns into another momentum-board reshuffle (only 2 names left on the 20D list = momentum extremely compressed); (3) chase risk in high-momentum names (HOOD 20D +33%) and position control ahead of CPI.
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Sources: Futu US top-200 market-cap board (7/6 close, cross-checked with Yahoo), Yahoo Finance (indexes / ETFs / risk gauges / Fwd P/E / net income), CNN Fear & Greed Index (estimated), TheStreet / Benzinga / Yahoo Finance / TradingKey (7/6 post-close recaps, ANET upgrades, TSLA Robotaxi, QCOM-Modular reports).
This report is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. All percentages are Futu / Yahoo actuals; F&G and P/E are non-official estimates.
DAILY US EQUITY · 2026-07-07 (7/6 US Eastern close)