Daily US Equity Report 2026-06-30 (Tue)
US 06/30 — Semis equipment & memory V-shaped revenge rebound; all three indices close green with the Dow at a record high (Dow +0.59% / S&P +1.18% / Nasdaq Composite +2.07%). US-Iran de-escalation + fading OpenAI IPO concerns, VIX eases to 17.65, breadth turns positive.
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US 06/30 [Semis equipment & memory V-shaped revenge rebound, all three indices close green with the Dow at a record high: 6/29 risk appetite broadly returns (Dow +0.59% to 52,182.74 record high / S&P +1.18% / Nasdaq Composite +2.07% / SMH +3.97% → +3.33%、NDX +2.25% semis carry the indices); GLW +15.67% Russell reclassification + Amazon's large fiber-optic order make it the top gainer, KLAC +11.97% / WDC +11.16% / AMAT +10.82% / LRCX +8.39% / STX +7.63% equipment & memory revenge rebound, PANW +9.14% / CRWD +5.96% cybersecurity strong, TSLA +8.46% Mag7 joins the party; however VZ -5.24% / TMUS -4.77% / T -3.96% telecom defensives dumped, MU only +1.14% lagging; US-Iran de-escalation + fading OpenAI IPO concerns, VIX eases to 17.65, breadth turns positive 126:73; the 20D list rebounds by 8 names, the 5D momentum board features pharma and cybersecurity together]
Data as of：2026-06-29 (Mon) actual US-close figures · Generated：Taipei 6/30 07:00
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🎯 Today's (6/30) Key Watch Points
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One-line summary
6/29 (Mon)Semis equipment & memory V-shaped revenge rebound; risk appetite returns across the board — US-Iran weekend de-escalation (Trump says talks resume Tuesday) + fading OpenAI IPO concerns; the prior day's profit-taking in equipment/memory reverses into a revenge rebound, all three indices close green — Dow +0.59% to 52,182.74 (record closing high)、S&P +1.18% to 7,440.43、Nasdaq Composite +2.07% to 25,820.14，SMH +3.33% / NDX +2.25%, semis carry the indices。GLW +15.67% / KLAC +11.97% / WDC +11.16% / AMAT +10.82% Equipment & memory lead, VZ -5.24% / TMUS -4.77% / T -3.96% telecom defensives dumped. VIX eases to 17.65, 10Y flat at 4.37%, oil bounces +1.52%.
Main axes
▲ Semis equipment / memory / fiber optics / cybersecurity revenge rebound GLW +15.67%, KLAC +11.97%, WDC +11.16%, AMAT +10.82%, PANW +9.14%, TSLA +8.46%, LRCX +8.39%, STX +7.63%, SPCX +7.15%, CRWD +5.96%, GEV +5.49%, TSM +5.26%
▼ Telecom / defensives / high-dividend dumped VZ -5.24%, TMUS -4.77%, T -3.96%, WMB -3.67%, TJX -2.70%, SHOP -2.27%, PGR -2.00%, SNDK -1.93%, PEP -1.92%, UNH -1.89%, CEG -1.78%
↳ “The great rotation reverses again”: the equipment/memory names that took profits the prior day (6/26) stage a revenge rebound today, capital rotates from last week's leading defensives/telecom/healthcare back into the AI hardware chain; semis retake market leadership while software relatively lags.
Policy & liquidity
US-Iran de-escalation Weekend US-Iran tensions ease, Trump says peace talks with Iran resume Tuesday (6/30), geopolitical risk premium falls, risk appetite returns; communication services / consumer / tech lead, Mag7 all close green (AMZN +3.20% / GOOGL +4.82% / TSLA +8.46%)
Equipment & memory revenge rebound Yesterday's “buy-the-rumor, sell-the-news” profit-taking in equipment/memory turns into a V-shaped bounce today — KLAC +11.97% / WDC +11.16% / AMAT +10.82% / LRCX +8.39% / STX +7.63%; however MU only +1.14% / SNDK -1.93% memory leaders relatively lag, 5D momentum still negative
GLW Russell reclassification + Amazon big order Corning gets reclassified into the Russell growth index, layered on top of a multi-year fiber-optic mega-order with Amazon, GLW +15.67% is the top gainer, 20D +41.14%; however Fwd 60x valuation is already pricey and insiders have been selling heavily of late
🔍 3 Focal Points to Watch
• Can the equipment/memory V-bounce hold ⭐⭐⭐ — Equipment (AMAT +10.82% / KLAC +11.97% / LRCX +8.39%) sees 20D momentum back to +30~54%, with all three timeframes turning positive to make the momentum screen; but memory leaders MU (5D -5.46%) / SNDK (5D -9.82%) / WDC (5D -11.02%)5D momentum still negative, whether the rebound is “equipment leads, memory catches up” or “a flash in the pan” is the week's key question.
• NKE earnings + this week's heavyweight macro ⭐⭐⭐ — 6/30 (Tue) after-close NKE FY26 Q4 (consensus revenue $10.9B, EPS 0.11, both down YoY) sets the consumer tone; 7/1 (Wed) ISM Manufacturing + JOLTS, 7/2 (Thu) ADP + June nonfarm payrolls released early (est. +172K), 7/3 (Fri) market closed for Independence Day, pre-holiday liquidity thin.
• Will dumped telecom defensives keep weakening ⭐⭐ — With risk appetite returning, last week's leading telecom/high-dividend names (VZ -5.24% / TMUS -4.77% / T -3.96%) are heavily sold today as capital flows back into growth. Watch whether this is “short-term capital rebalancing” or “the defensive rotation officially ending,” which will set the style for the back half of the week.
⚡ This week's cadence：6/26 (Fri) OpenAI reportedly delays IPO + memory profit-taking crash → 6/29 (Mon · disclosed) US-Iran de-escalation + equipment/memory V-bounce, Dow record high + telecom dumped → 6/30 (Tue) NKE after-close earnings → 7/1 (Wed) ISM Manufacturing + JOLTS → 7/2 (Thu) ADP + June nonfarm payrolls (released early, est. +172K) + ISM Services → 7/3 (Fri) US market closed (Independence Day observed a day early) → 7/4 (Sat) Independence Day
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🏛 Market Backdrop 6/29 close
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🌡 Macro Risk Signals 6/29 close · Futu / CNN actual figures
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📅 Earnings / Major Events — Next 2 Weeks 6/29 - 7/10
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💡 Key Observations
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🔎 Focus Stocks: GLW / AMAT / KLAC / MU Equipment & fiber V-bounce lead vs memory leaders lagging
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| 🚀 Momentum Selection — 5 NamesStock-selection logic: momentum × relative valuation dual-factor — 5D/10D/20D all strong together, with Fwd P/E inside the sector's reasonable band (the valuation gate screens out the too-expensive); ranked by combined “momentum strength × valuation cheapness”; revenue/earnings/themes are not considered |
1AMAT Applied MaterialsSemiconductor equipment 5D +8.51%10D +22.46%20D +54.34%Fwd P/E 42.6 reasonablemkt cap $551.5B Strongest 20D + all three timeframes aligned: 5D/10D/20D (8.5/22.5/54.3) — strongest 20D in the whole list and all three positive; 6/29 +10.82% revenge rebound leads equipment, Fwd 42.6x sits mid of the equipment band (25–55), tops the momentum × valuation ranking. |
2PANW Palo Alto NetworksNetwork security 5D +15.92%10D +18.73%20D +17.86%Fwd P/E 80.6 reasonablemkt cap $270.6B Most balanced and strong across three timeframes: 5D/10D/20D (15.9/18.7/17.9) — double-digit in all three and the most balanced in the list; 6/29 +9.14% leads cybersecurity, Fwd 80.6x sits within the cybersecurity band (40–90), ranks 2nd on momentum quality. |
3ABBV AbbViePharmaceuticals 5D +10.56%10D +11.67%20D +16.81%Fwd P/E 15.6 ★cheapmkt cap $449.3B Three timeframes aligned + cheapest valuation: 5D/10D/20D (10.6/11.7/16.8) all double-digit, Fwd only 15.6x below the pharma band (20–40) lower edge, deep value; defensive momentum × cheapness ranks 3rd. |
4KLAC KLASemiconductor equipment 5D +3.43%10D +9.37%20D +44.87%Fwd P/E 54.9 upper edgemkt cap $363.7B Three timeframes aligned + 2nd-strongest 20D: 5D/10D/20D (3.4/9.4/44.9) all positive, 6/29 +11.97% strong equipment bounce, Fwd 54.9x sits at the upper edge of the equipment band (25–55); strong momentum but pricey valuation ranks 4th. |
5JNJ Johnson & JohnsonPharma/medical devices 5D +11.77%10D +7.32%20D +14.73%Fwd P/E 20.3 reasonable-to-lowmkt cap $622.3B Three timeframes aligned + mega-cap weight: 5D/10D/20D (11.8/7.3/14.7) all positive, 5D momentum especially strong, Fwd 20.3x at the lower edge of the pharma band (20–40) and on the cheap side, TTM net income $21.0B; defensive flagship ranks 5th. |
＊This “momentum selection” uses a momentum + relative-valuation dual factor ranking: the universe is the top 200 by market cap, requiring 5D/10D/20D all positive across the three timeframes, with each sector's Fwd P/E reasonable band as the valuation gate。6/29 equipment/memory V-bounce, the momentum board rotates back into semis equipment(AMAT 20D +54.3 strongest; PANW most balanced across three timeframes; KLAC equipment alongside) + defensive pharma (ABBV Fwd 15.6x cheapest, JNJ three timeframes aligned); GLW, though strongest across three timeframes (5D +21.9/10D +42.7/20D +41.1) and the day's top gainer, is screened out by the valuation gate as Fwd 60.2x far exceeds the upper edge of the materials band (20–45)；memory leaders MU (5D -5.46) / SNDK (5D -9.82) / WDC (5D -11.02) remain negative on 5D momentum, fail the three-timeframe-aligned test and are not selected. Each % is the Futu 6/29 close, Fwd P/E is Yahoo's value for the day. High-momentum names also pull back fast, so be sure to set stops and position limits. This information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
📋 Full ListTop 200 by market cap · 20D gain > 20% · sorted by 20D
Memory / CPU
Logic / ASIC / Hardware
Software / Cybersecurity
Non-tech ｜
Green=up on 6/29
Red=down on 6/29
| Ticker / Name | Price | Gain (20D) | 1D (6/29) | 5D | 20D | YTD | Fwd P/E | Net income (×$100M) | Mkt cap (×$100M) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT Applied MaterialsSemiconductor equipment | 694.64 | +10.82% | +8.51% | +54.34% | +170.97% | 42.6 | 85 as of 4/26 | 5,515 | |||
| KLAC KLASemiconductor equipment | 278.39 | +11.97% | +3.43% | +44.87% | +129.70% | 54.9 | 47 as of 3/31 | 3,637 | |||
| GLW CorningGlass/Fiber optics | 255.69 | +15.67% | +21.86% | +41.14% | +193.01% | 60.2 | 18 as of 3/31 | 2,201 | |||
| MRVL MarvellASIC/Networking chips | 277.75 | +4.12% | -9.78% | +35.49% | +227.24% | 45.0 | 25 as of 5/2 | 2,430 | |||
| LRCX Lam ResearchSemiconductor equipment | 410.91 | +8.39% | +0.33% | +29.23% | +140.50% | 51.3 | 67 as of 3/29 | 5,139 | |||
| WDC Western DigitalHDD storage | 651.88 | +11.16% | -11.02% | +22.75% | +278.69% | 36.1 | 64 as of 4/3 | 2,247 | |||
| SPCX SpaceXSpace/Satellite | 164.19 | +7.15% | +6.20% | +21.62% | +21.62% | — | — | 21,600 | |||
| SNDK SanDiskNAND | 2,050.39 | -1.93% | -9.82% | +20.97% | +763.76% | 11.0 | 45 as of 4/3 | 3,036 |
＊List (20D gain > 20%): this period totals 8 names(7 the prior trading day; 6/29 equipment/memory V-bounce, WDC back above the 20% threshold, SPCX newly added).AMAT stays at the top with 20D +54.34%, KLAC +44.87% ranks 2nd, GLW +41.14% ranks 3rd.The equipment trio (AMAT/KLAC/LRCX) leads with all three momentum timeframes turning positive, but memory WDC / SNDK remain negative on 5D (-11.02% / -9.82%), MRVL 5D -9.78% shows momentum divergence. The bar chart uses AMAT 20D +54.34% as the 100% baseline; bar color = sector category. Net income= trailing four quarters (TTM), in $100M units (each stock's “as of M/D” is its latest reporting quarter-end; MU as of 5/28 already reflects FY26 Q3, net income $50.5B); update after the next quarter's results. SPCX (SpaceX) has no Fwd P/E / net income data yet, shown as —.
📋 Full List (5D momentum)Top 200 by market cap · 5D gain > 10% · sorted by 5D
| Ticker / Name | Price | Gain (5D) | 5D | 20D | 1D (6/29) | YTD | Fwd P/E | Net income (×$100M) | Mkt cap (×$100M) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLW CorningGlass/Fiber optics | 255.69 | +21.86% | +41.14% | +15.67% | +193.01% | 60.2 | 18 as of 3/31 | 2,201 | |||
| PANW Palo Alto NetworksNetwork security | 332.00 | +15.92% | +17.86% | +9.14% | +80.24% | 80.6 | 8 as of 4/30 | 2,706 | |||
| MRK MerckPharmaceuticals | 129.38 | +12.04% | +9.76% | +0.56% | +24.72% | 13.5 | 89 as of 3/31 | 3,196 | |||
| JNJ Johnson & JohnsonPharma/medical devices | 258.51 | +11.77% | +14.73% | +1.51% | +26.30% | 20.3 | 210 as of 3/29 | 6,223 | |||
| LLY Eli LillyPharma/GLP-1 | 1,229.93 | +11.60% | +11.31% | +1.81% | +14.83% | 27.7 | 253 as of 3/31 | 11,600 | |||
| ABBV AbbViePharmaceuticals | 254.31 | +10.56% | +16.81% | +0.38% | +13.13% | 15.6 | 36 as of 3/31 | 4,493 | |||
| IBM IBMCloud/AI services | 278.00 | +10.22% | -6.65% | +2.35% | -4.92% | 20.7 | 107 as of 3/31 | 2,613 |
＊List (5D gain > 10%): this period totals 7 names，GLW +21.86% tops the 5D board(fiber-optic AI + index reclassification), PANW +15.92% ranks 2nd (cybersecurity). The other 5 are pharma / healthcare(MRK / JNJ / LLY / ABBV) plus IBM, reflecting the continued momentum of last week's defensive rotation. The bar chart uses GLW 5D +21.86% as the 100% baseline; bar color = sector category.Net income= trailing four quarters (TTM), in $100M units; “as of M/D” is the latest reporting quarter-end; updated after the next quarter. PANW's net income of $0.8B reflects its high-valuation (Fwd 80.6x) growth pricing.
🤖 AI Sub-sector Breakdown After 6/29 close · 20D average
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📈 Breadth Snapshot Top 200 by market cap · 6/29 advancers vs decliners
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＊6/29 breadthturns positive to 1.73:1 (126 up vs 73 down, 1 flat), a sharp improvement from the prior day's 102:98, showing a “risk appetite returns” pattern — US-Iran de-escalation + fading OpenAI IPO concerns, the prior day's profit-taken semis equipment/memory (AMAT / KLAC / WDC / GLW) stage a revenge rebound, cybersecurity (PANW / CRWD) equally strong, all three indices close green, the Dow hits a record high; but last week's leading telecom / defensives / high-dividend (VZ / TMUS / T / PEP / UNH) see profit-taking, with capital clearly rotating back into the AI hardware chain and growth.
🔁 6/26 → 6/29 Change Tracker
| Stock | 6/26 close (back-calculated) | 6/29 close | 6/29 change | Change highlights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLW Corning | $221.07 | $255.69 | +15.67% | top gainer of the day; Russell reclassification + Amazon fiber-optic mega-order, 20D +41.14% |
| KLAC KLA | $248.63 | $278.39 | +11.97% | equipment V-bounce, 20D +44.87% ranks 2nd on the list, three timeframes turn positive, enters the momentum selection |
| WDC Western Digital | $586.43 | $651.88 | +11.16% | HDD bounces strongly from -13% the prior day, back on the 20D list; but 5D still -11.02% |
| AMAT Applied Materials | $626.82 | $694.64 | +10.82% | equipment momentum king, 20D +54.34% stays at the top, 1st in the momentum selection |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks | $304.20 | $332.00 | +9.14% | cybersecurity leads, most balanced momentum across three timeframes (5D/10D/20D 15.9/18.7/17.9), 2nd in the momentum selection |
| TSLA Tesla | $379.72 | $411.84 | +8.46% | Mag7 leads, returning risk appetite lifts consumer tech |
| MU Micron | $1,132.37 | $1,145.28 | +1.14% | memory leader relatively lags, 5D still -5.46%; 20D +17.95% drops out of the main 20D list |
| VZ Verizon | $46.54 | $44.10 | -5.24% | among the day's top losers; telecom defensives dumped, capital rotates back into growth |
＊The 6/26→6/29 main theme reverses from “OpenAI concerns + memory profit-taking” back to “US-Iran de-escalation + semis V-bounce”: equipment/memory & fiber-optic revenge rebound (GLW +15.67% / KLAC +11.97% / WDC +11.16% / AMAT +10.82%), cybersecurity (PANW +9.14%) stays strong, Mag7 (TSLA +8.46%) joins in, but telecom defensives dumped (VZ -5.24% / TMUS -4.77%).The main 20D list rebounds from 7 to 8 names(WDC returns, SPCX newly added), memory leaders MU / SNDK still negative on 5D momentum, relatively lagging. Back-calculated prior-day close = 6/29 close ÷ (1 + 6/29 change%).
📝 Summary Core conclusions after 6/29 close
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① Market structure: risk appetite returns, all three indices close green: Dow +0.59% to 52,182.74 (record closing high), S&P +1.18% to 7,440.43, Nasdaq Composite +2.07% to 25,820.14，SMH +3.33% / NDX +2.25%, semis carry the indices, but IWM -0.29% small caps dip against the trend。VIX falls -4.13% to 17.65, VXN 29.37, 10Y flat at 4.37%, oil bounces +1.52%. Breadth turns positive to 126 up vs 73 down (1.73:1) — US-Iran de-escalation drives a broad return of risk appetite.
② Theme 1: US-Iran de-escalation, OpenAI concerns fade: weekend US-Iran tensions ease, Trump says peace talks with Iran resume Tuesday (6/30), the geopolitical risk premium falls; the OpenAI IPO concerns that hammered the AI trade the prior day fade, risk appetite returns broadly, communication services / consumer / tech lead, Mag7 all close green (GOOGL +4.82% / AMZN +3.20% / TSLA +8.46%).
③ Theme 2: Semis equipment & memory V-shaped revenge rebound: yesterday's “buy-the-rumor, sell-the-news” profit-taking in equipment / memory / fiber optics turns into a V-bounce today — GLW +15.67% (Russell reclassification + Amazon mega-order) / KLAC +11.97% / WDC +11.16% / AMAT +10.82% / LRCX +8.39% / STX +7.63%, the equipment sub-sector's 1D average +9.0% is the strongest, 20D +36.3% tops the board; but memory leaders MU only +1.14% / SNDK -1.93%, 5D momentum still negative, relatively lagging.
④ Theme 3: telecom defensives dumped, capital rotates back into growth: with risk appetite returning, last week's leading telecom / high-dividend / defensive consumersee heavy profit-taking — VZ -5.24% / TMUS -4.77% / T -3.96% / PEP -1.92% / UNH -1.89%, while software / AI cloud (20D -19.5%) has the weakest rebound, lagging semis, showing the classic “risk-on rotation back into AI hardware” pattern.
⑤ List changes: the main 20D list rebounds from 7 to 8 names(WDC back above the 20% threshold, SPCX newly added): AMAT +54.34% tops the board, KLAC +44.87% ranks 2nd, GLW +41.14% ranks 3rd. The 5D momentum board has 7 names：GLW +21.86% +36.3% ＞ Memory/HDD +18.0% ＞ Cybersecurity +10.7% ＞ AI servers +10.1% ＞ Logic/ASIC +5.4% ＞ Power +0.4% ＞ CPU -3.4% ＞ Software/AI cloud -19.5% at the bottom.
⑥ Conclusion & this week's strategy: US-Iran de-escalation + fading OpenAI concerns; semis equipment/memory revenge rebound, Dow record high, showing a “value/defensives → AI hardware great rotation reversing again”. On positioning: Semiconductor equipment (AMAT / KLAC / LRCX)three momentum timeframes turn positive, 20D back to +30~54%, the new main line of the momentum selection; but valuations are high (KLAC Fwd 54.9x), so scale in and don't chase; Memory leaders (MU / SNDK / WDC) still negative on 5D momentum, whether the rebound is a “catch-up” or a “false breakout” awaits this week's confirmation; set tight stops; Defensive pharma (ABBV / JNJ / MRK)three momentum timeframes + cheap valuation keep them on the 5D board, usable as a balanced allocation. This week's heavyweights: 6/30 (Tue) NKE after-close earnings, 7/1 ISM Manufacturing, 7/2 June nonfarm payrolls (released early, est. +172K), 7/3 market closed; pre-holiday liquidity thin, watch for amplified volatility after the data.
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Sources: Futu US top-200-by-market-cap list (6/29 close), Yahoo Finance (indices / ETFs / risk indicators / Fwd P/E / net income), CNN Fear & Greed Index (estimated), company news and macro (US-Iran de-escalation, Corning Russell reclassification / Amazon fiber-optic mega-order, NKE earnings preview, June nonfarm / ISM previews).
This report is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. All percentages are actual Futu / Yahoo figures; F&G and S&P / NDX PE are non-real-time estimated values.
DAILY US EQUITY · 2026-06-30 (6/29 US close)
This report is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. All percentages are actual Futu / Yahoo figures; F&G and S&P / NDX PE are non-real-time estimated values.
DAILY US EQUITY · 2026-06-30 (6/29 US close)
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