🏛 Market Backdrop 6/18 close
| | SPY S&P 500 $746.74 on the day +0.78% Index 7,500.58 |
| | | QQQ Nasdaq 100 $740.62 on the day +2.51% Nasdaq 26,517.93 |
| | | IWM Russell 2000 $295.59 on the day +1.97% small caps led gains |
| | | SMH Semiconductor ETF $659.88 on the day +5.76% led the broad market, chips exploded |
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🌡 Macro Risk Signals 6/18 close · Futu / CNN actuals
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VIX / VXN volatility
VIX 16.40 -11.06%
VXN 26.31 -7.88%
VIX from 18.44 plunged -11.06% back to 16.40, returning to the low comfort zone — U.S.–Iran peace + the chip rebound lifted risk appetite and digested FOMC hawkishness; VXN likewise fell back to 26.31, with volatility clearly converging after the quadruple-witching day.
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10Y / 2Y Treasury yields
about 4.45%
10Y -1bp· short end stabilizing from its post-FOMC high
The day after the hawkish FOMC, yields pulled back slightly from their highs, 10Y about 4.45% (-1bp); with yields no longer pressing higher, plus U.S.–Iran peace and the chip rebound, growth stocks whose valuations were compressed the prior day got some breathing room. 30Y about 4.90%.
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DXY Dollar / WTI Crude
~100.81
the dollar on the day +0.72% holding above 100
Continued FOMC hawkishness pushed the dollar higher holding above 100 (+0.72%), pressuring resource / pharma ADRs (BHP / RIO / GSK / NVS weakened);USO Crude Oil ETF +0.56%, after U.S.–Iran peace oil lingered at low levels (20D -20%), and inflation pressure stabilized for now.
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Fear & Greed Index
about 50-55, neutral leaning greedy
peace + the rebound lifted sentiment
CNN F&G estimated to have recovered from yesterday's neutral-leaning-fear to about 50-55 (neutral leaning Greed): VIX plunged, breadth turned positive (117 up vs 83 down), and U.S.–Iran peace boosted risk appetite.(not a real-time official figure; estimated range)
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S&P 500 valuation
PE ~25.1 (trailing)
Fwd PE ~21.7
The index rebounded +1.08% and Fwd PE recovered from 21.4 to ~21.7, still above the 10-year average of 18.9; the pullback in yields from their highs eased valuation pressure for now, but the “rate hike within the year” pricing has not faded and valuation caution remains.(not a real-time official figure)
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Nasdaq 100 valuation
PE ~33.3 (trailing)
Fwd PE ~25.6
QQQ rebounded +2.51% and the multiple recovered to ~33.3; semiconductors / memory led gains and lifted valuations, while high-valuation software remained relatively weak. Under rate-hike expectations, high-multiple tech remains volatile.(not a real-time official figure)
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📅 Earnings / Key Events in the Next 2 Weeks 6/18 - 7/2
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📌 Major Tech / Semiconductor Earnings
| 6/18 (Thu, reported) | ACN Accenture · pre-market ✕ sharp drop Q3 FY26 guidance / AI consulting orders fell short of expectations, ACN plunged about -18% intraday, a hard-hit stock amid fears that “AI is replacing enterprise IT consulting”; but it did not drag down the broad market, as semiconductor strength alone masked software-services weakness. |
| 6/19 (Fri) | U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth All markets closed for one day, shortening the trading week to 4 days; event density this week is extremely high (FOMC + quadruple witching + holiday). |
| 6/23 (Tue) | FDX FedEx · after-hours ⭐ Q4 FY26; a bellwether for global trade volumes / economic conditions, with shipment volumes under tariffs and consumer momentum in focus. KBH / CCL also report the same day. |
| 6/24 (Wed) | MU Micron FY26 Q3 · after-hours ⭐⭐⭐ The most important earnings of the next two weeks: the biggest test of the HBM / DRAM price-hike cycle.6/18 rebounded +8.70% to close $1,133.99, 20D +54.92%, ranking 6th on the main list, Fwd P/E just 9.9x. PAYX / JEF the same day. |
| 6/30 (Tue) | NKE Nike · after-hours Q4 FY26; a bellwether for consumer / tariff-sensitive stocks, with the China market and inventory-destocking progress in focus. |
Earnings theme: 6/24 MU is the ultimate test of the memory price-hike cycle. With a low Fwd P/E of 9.9x and tailwinds from a rising spot market, MU rebounded +8.70% on 6/18; whether it can break the “good results, falling stock” curse is a key battle for semiconductor bulls; ACN's plunge highlights how picky capital is about software services.
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📊 Macro Events · Next 2 Weeks
| 6/18 (Thu, reported) | U.S.–Iran peace deal ★ bullish The U.S. ended its blockade of Iran and the two sides reached a peace deal; the geopolitical premium unwound and risk appetite recovered; defense stocks saw profit-taking (LMT / RTX / GD weakened) and oil lingered at low levels. |
| 6/19 (Fri) | U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth Markets close two days after the FOMC, shortening the trading week to 4 days; the next trading day is 6/22 (Mon). |
| 6/24 (Wed) | MU earnings (see also left column) A test of the memory price-hike cycle; a key check of whether high-valuation growth stocks can be supported by earnings after the FOMC. |
| 6/26 (Fri) | May PCE prices ⭐⭐ The Fed's preferred inflation gauge; after the hawkish FOMC it tests inflation stickiness and shapes the July meeting and this year's rate-hike expectations — the next biggest macro variable. |
| 6/27 (Sat, Taipei) | Continued fallout from the 6/26 PCE Includes the final University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading; watch the direction of yields and rate-hike expectations after the PCE release. |
Theme: U.S.–Iran peace (reported) → 6/24 MU earnings → 6/26 PCE. The market already chose to buy back chips and digest rate-hike expectations the day after the hawkish FOMC; yields pulled back from their highs. The PCE inflation data will determine whether this year's rate-hike expectations strengthen further or loosen.
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💡 Key Observations
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🔥 Biggest 1-day gainers 6/18 (top 200 by market cap)
BE +15.41%, SNDK +11.54%, GLW +11.13%, INTC +10.64%, KLAC +8.73%, MU +8.70%, ASX +8.33%, MRVL +7.27%, TXN +6.95%, TSM +6.94%, QCOM +6.17%, GEV +5.80%, ARM +4.91%, VRT +4.87%, AMD +4.86%, ADI +4.83%, WDC +4.79%, AVGO +4.70%
The gainers list was memory / storage (SNDK / MU / WDC) + foundry / analog (INTC / TSM / TXN / ADI) + equipment (KLAC / AMAT) + OSAT (ASX)dominated — a broad semiconductor revenge rally; BE +15.41% top fuel-cell gainer, GLW +11.13% strong gain in fiber-optic materials. SMH +5.76% leading.
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📉 Biggest 1-day decliners 6/18 (top 200 by market cap)
IBM -5.05%, LMT -4.01%, RTX -3.62%, SPCX -3.56%, GD -3.53%, COP -3.12%, SCHW -2.97%, GSK -2.84%, BHP -2.76%, PFE -2.74%, BP -2.59%, NVS -2.52%, RIO -2.52%, JNJ -2.48%, JPM -2.47%, DELL -2.34%
The decliners were concentrated in defense (LMT / RTX / GD) + energy (COP / BP) + pharma / resource ADRs (GSK / NVS / BHP / RIO) + financials (SCHW / JPM) — U.S.–Iran peace prompted profit-taking in defense / oil & gas, and a strong dollar pressured resources and pharma; IBM -5.05% led software-services declines, and DELL gave back gains from a high base. |
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🔌 Key Story 1: Semiconductor revenge rally, memory group explodes
The day after the hawkish FOMC sell-off, semiconductors — already strong against the trend the prior day — exploded further, SMH +5.76% leading. Memory / storage surged across the board: SNDK +11.54%, MU +8.70%, WDC +4.79%, STX +0.39%; foundry / analog / equipment also soared together (INTC +10.64%, TSM +6.94%, TXN +6.95%, KLAC +8.73%, AMAT +4.08%). Capital confirmed the continuation of the “rate hikes hit software, money rotates back into chips” rotation, with low-valuation memory (MU 9.9x / SNDK 11.9x) most favored.
20D main list 16 → 17 names (dropping GE, adding ASX / ANET); 5D momentum list 31 → 19 names (converging onto a semiconductor / memory / power core). The memory / HDD sector's 20D average +45.9% remains firmly the top sub-sector.
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🕊 Key Story 2: U.S.–Iran peace + digesting Fed hawkishness, risk appetite recovers
The U.S. ended its blockade of Iran and reached a peace deal; the geopolitical premium unwound, VIX plunged -11.06% back to 16.40, Russell +2.12% leading gains, breadth back positive (117 up vs 83 down). On the first trading day after the hawkish FOMC dot plot, the market chose to digest rate-hike expectations and yields pulled back from their highs (10Y ~4.45%). However, defense stocks saw profit-taking (LMT -4.01%, RTX -3.62%, GD -3.53%), oil lingered at low levels, and a strong dollar pressured resources and pharma.
To watch next: whether the ceasefire holds, and the 6/26 PCE inflation data.Tonight 6/19 closed for Juneteenth; the next trading day is 6/22 (Mon); whether peace and the chip rebound can continue, and the direction of yields, are key.
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🔎 Focus Stocks: MU / SNDK / WDC / NVDA memory group revenge rally
| | MU Micron — $1,133.99 (6/18 +8.70%)6/24 earnings • Momentum: 5D +13.87%, 20D +54.92%, YTD +297.49%, market cap $1.28T • single-day +8.70%, new high: revenge rally to close $1,133.99, 20D +54.92%, ranking 6th on the main list; the biggest beneficiary of HBM / DRAM price hikes. • Fwd P/E just 9.9, the lowest among large-cap semiconductors; 6/24 FY26 Q3 earningsis the ultimate test of the price-hike cycle (TTM net income $24.1B), and volatility will amplify ahead of the report. |
| | | SNDK SanDisk — $2,184.75 (6/18 +11.54%)NAND pure-play • Momentum: 5D +16.12%, 20D +56.89%, YTD +820.36%, market cap $323.5B • single-day +11.54%, leading memory gains: broke above $2,000, 20D +56.89%, ranking 5th on the main list; the purest play on NAND price hikes. • Fwd P/E 11.9, TTM net income $4.5B; YTD +820% is the list's top gainer, with rising NAND spot quotes as core momentum. |
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| | WDC Western Digital — $746.23 (6/18 +4.79%)5D leader • Momentum: 5D +40.99%, 20D +62.40%, YTD +333.49%, market cap $257.2B • 5D +40.99%, retaining the 5D top spot: HDD continued to lead, 20D +62.40%, jumping to 4th on the main list; cloud HDD capacity demand is the firmest. • Fwd P/E 41.3, TTM net income $6.4B; together with STX (5D +23.29%) it forms the HDD duo, with the strongest storage-chain momentum. |
| | | NVDA Nvidia — $210.69 (6/18 +2.95%)AI heavyweight recovers • Momentum: 5D +2.84%, 20D -5.61%, YTD +13.11%, market cap $5.10T • single-day +2.95% recovery: closed $210.69, back above $210; but 20D -5.61% still makes it a relatively lagging AI heavyweight, awaiting catch-up gains. • Fwd P/E 16.6, TTM net income $159.6B (highest on the list); the AI leader has the most stable fundamentals, and its 20D repair is key to extending the broad-market uptrend. |
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| 🚀 Momentum Picks: 5 NamesSelection logic: multi-timeframe alignment (both 20D & 5D strong) + relative strength (6/18 semiconductor revenge rally, outperforming the market's +1.08%) + breakout / new highs |
| | 1SNDK SanDiskNAND 1D +11.54%5D +16.12%20D +56.89%YTD +820.36%Fwd P/E 11.9 Strong across all three timeframes and the day's memory leader: 1D +11.54% broke above $2,000, 20D 5th on the main list, the purest NAND price-hike play, YTD +820% the list's top gainer. |
| | 2WDC Western DigitalHDD storage 1D +4.79%5D +40.99%20D +62.40%YTD +333.49%Fwd P/E 41.3 5D leader, the purest trend: 5D +40.99% tops the 5D list, 20D 4th on the main list, cloud HDD demand the firmest and storage-chain momentum the strongest. |
| | 3MU MicronDRAM/HBM/NAND 1D +8.70%5D +13.87%20D +54.92%YTD +297.49%Fwd P/E 9.9 Momentum + low valuation + event, three-in-one: revenge rally +8.70% to a new high, 20D 6th, 6/24 earnings as a catalyst, Fwd just 9.9x; leave room for stops ahead of the report. |
| | 4INTC IntelCPU / foundry 1D +10.64%5D +14.56%20D +12.63%YTD +263.12%Fwd P/E 86.7 Explosive catch-up, breakout type: +10.64% on the day, among the top gainers, 5D +14.56% newly on the 5D list, with the foundry theme strengthening; but Fwd 86.7x is high and TTM net income is still negative — a high-beta bounce. |
| | 5ARM Armsemiconductor IP 1D +4.91%5D +28.41%20D +71.18%YTD +302.03%Fwd P/E 143.2 20D gain leader, the strongest trend: 20D +71.18% retains the top of the main list, on the list for 17 straight days, but a Fwd P/E of 143x is extremely high — tightly control position size when chasing. |
*These “momentum picks” are screened by price momentum (multi-timeframe alignment + relative strength + breakout), not by fundamentals or valuation ratings; high-momentum names also pull back quickly — watch for volatility around the 6/24 MU earnings, and be sure to set stops and position limits. Each % is Futu's 6/18 close actual, and Fwd P/E is Yahoo's value for the day. This information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
📋 Full ListTop 200 by market cap · 20D gain > 20% · sorted by 20D
Memory / Storage
Semiconductor Equipment
Logic / IP / ASIC
CPU
AI Servers
Connectors / Materials
Space
Financials
Power |
Green= 6/18 up
Red= 6/18 down
| Ticker / Name |
Price | Gain (20D) |
1D (6/18) |
5D |
20D |
YTD | Fwd P/E | Net income ($100M) | Market cap ($100M) | Rank / Days on list |
| ARM Armsemiconductor IP | 439.46 | | +4.91% | +28.41% | +71.18% | +302.03% | 143.2 | 9 as of 3/31 | 4,694 | — +17 |
| DELL DellAI Servers | 409.50 | | -2.34% | +4.61% | +68.57% | +227.74% | 19.4 | 84 as of 5/1 | 2,654 | — +17 |
| MRVL MarvellASIC / networking chips | 310.58 | | +7.27% | +10.64% | +66.26% | +265.92% | 50.3 | 25 as of 5/2 | 2,717 | — +17 |
| WDC Western DigitalHDD storage | 746.23 | | +4.79% | +40.99% | +62.40% | +333.49% | 41.3 | 64 as of 4/3 | 2,572 | — +4 |
| SNDK SanDiskNAND | 2,184.75 | | +11.54% | +16.12% | +56.89% | +820.36% | 11.9 | 45 as of 4/3 | 3,235 | ▲5 +6 |
| MU MicronDRAM/HBM/NAND | 1,133.99 | | +8.70% | +13.87% | +54.92% | +297.49% | 9.9 | 241 as of 2/26 | 12,800 | ▼1 +6 |
| AMAT Applied MaterialsSemiconductor Equipment | 617.11 | | +4.08% | +11.67% | +44.75% | +140.73% | 38.0 | 85 as of 4/26 | 4,900 | ▼1 +6 |
| HOOD RobinhoodBrokerage / Financials | 108.15 | | +2.80% | +17.26% | +42.75% | -4.38% | 38.0 | 19 as of 3/31 | 974 | ▲1 +2 |
| STX SeagateHDD storage | 1,070.23 | | +0.39% | +23.29% | +42.49% | +289.30% | 39.5 | 24 as of 4/3 | 2,400 | ▼2 +4 |
| KLAC KLASemiconductor Equipment | 259.56 | | +8.73% | +7.63% | +41.88% | +114.17% | 51.4 | 47 as of 3/31 | 3,391 | ▲1 +6 |
| SPCX SpaceXSpace / Satellite | 185.00 | | -3.56% | +37.04% | +37.04% | +37.04% | — | -94 as of 3/31 | 24,300 | ▼3 +4 |
| LRCX Lam ResearchSemiconductor Equipment | 389.04 | | +3.97% | +7.39% | +33.29% | +127.70% | 48.8 | 67 as of 3/29 | 4,865 | — +6 |
| APH AmphenolConnectors | 163.96 | | +1.77% | +7.54% | +33.25% | +21.57% | 28.8 | 45 as of 3/31 | 2,017 | — +4 |
| ASX ASEIC OSAT | 40.56 | | +8.33% | +10.22% | +27.99% | +151.93% | 28.3 | — | 905 | ★ new ★ new |
| ASML ASMLEUV equipment | 1,929.68 | | +3.31% | +1.59% | +24.49% | +81.00% | 40.1 | 100 as of 3/29 | 7,437 | ▼1 +4 |
| ANET Aristanetworking equipment | 169.67 | | +2.87% | +8.48% | +20.77% | +29.49% | 38.1 | 37 as of 3/31 | 2,137 | ★ new ★ new |
| AMD AMDCPU/GPU | 537.37 | | +4.86% | +10.02% | +20.06% | +150.92% | 41.0 | 49 as of 3/28 | 8,762 | ▼1 +4 |
*List changes (vs 6/17): this period 16 → 17 names, 1 removed — GE (20D pulled back, fell below the 20% threshold); 2 added — ASX (OSAT, 20D +27.99%), ANET (networking, 20D +20.77%).ARM retains the top spot with 20D +71.18%, DELL +68.57% 2nd, MRVL +66.26% 3rd. Amid the semiconductor revenge rally, SNDK jumped ▲5 in rank. The gain bar chart uses ARM's 20D +71.18% as the 100% baseline. Rank / Days on list(right of the market-cap column): the first part ▲N= rank rose N places vs the prior trading day (6/17), ▼N= fell, —= unchanged, ★ new= newly on the list today; the colored second part +N= number of consecutive trading days on the list (including today, colored by length: blue ≥10 days / purple 5–9 days / orange 1–4 days; this data is counted from 5/28). Net income= sum of the last four quarters (TTM), in units of $100M (each stock's “as of M/D” is the end date of its latest reported quarter); to be updated after the next quarter's earnings.
📋 Full List (5D momentum)Top 200 by market cap · 5D gain > 10% · sorted by 5D
Memory / Storage
Semiconductor Equipment
Logic / IP / ASIC
CPU
AI Servers
Connectors / Materials
Space
Financials
Power |
Green= 6/18 up
Red= 6/18 down
| Ticker / Name |
Price | Gain (5D) |
5D |
20D |
1D (6/18) |
YTD | Fwd P/E | Net income ($100M) | Market cap ($100M) | Rank / Days on list |
| WDC Western DigitalHDD storage | 746.23 | | +40.99% | +62.40% | +4.79% | +333.49% | 41.3 | 64 as of 4/3 | 2,572 | — +5 |
| SPCX SpaceXSpace / Satellite | 185.00 | | +37.04% | +37.04% | -3.56% | +37.04% | — | -94 as of 3/31 | 24,300 | — +5 |
| BE Bloom Energyfuel cells / power | 328.91 | | +32.16% | +16.51% | +15.41% | +278.54% | 75.7 | 0 as of 3/31 | 936 | ★ new ★ new |
| ARM Armsemiconductor IP | 439.46 | | +28.41% | +71.18% | +4.91% | +302.03% | 143.2 | 9 as of 3/31 | 4,694 | ▼1 +5 |
| STX SeagateHDD storage | 1,070.23 | | +23.29% | +42.49% | +0.39% | +289.30% | 39.5 | 24 as of 4/3 | 2,400 | ▼1 +4 |
| GEV GE Vernovapower equipment | 1,109.73 | | +22.44% | +8.37% | +5.80% | +70.11% | 45.3 | 94 as of 3/31 | 2,982 | — +2 |
| HOOD RobinhoodBrokerage / Financials | 108.15 | | +17.26% | +42.75% | +2.80% | -4.38% | 38.0 | 19 as of 3/31 | 974 | ▼2 +2 |
| SNDK SanDiskNAND | 2,184.75 | | +16.12% | +56.89% | +11.54% | +820.36% | 11.9 | 45 as of 4/3 | 3,235 | — +5 |
| INTC IntelCPU / foundry | 133.99 | | +14.56% | +12.63% | +10.64% | +263.12% | 86.7 | -32 as of 3/28 | 6,734 | ▲9 +2 |
| MU MicronDRAM/HBM/NAND | 1,133.99 | | +13.87% | +54.92% | +8.70% | +297.49% | 9.9 | 241 as of 2/26 | 12,800 | ▼1 +2 |
| VRT VertivAI power / cooling | 333.05 | | +11.83% | +5.53% | +4.87% | +105.66% | 37.6 | 16 as of 3/31 | 1,279 | ▲9 +2 |
| AMAT Applied MaterialsSemiconductor Equipment | 617.11 | | +11.67% | +44.75% | +4.08% | +140.73% | 38.0 | 85 as of 4/26 | 4,900 | ▼5 +6 |
| QCOM Qualcommmobile chips | 226.11 | | +11.41% | +12.07% | +6.17% | +33.53% | 21.2 | 99 as of 3/29 | 2,383 | ▲12 +2 |
| CEG Constellation Energynuclear / AI power | 274.06 | | +11.09% | -2.56% | +2.58% | -22.20% | 20.2 | 38 as of 3/31 | 990 | ▲17 +2 |
| COF Capital OneFinancials | 201.53 | | +10.71% | +7.64% | +0.33% | -16.17% | 8.3 | 26 as of 3/31 | 1,254 | ▲4 +2 |
| MRVL MarvellASIC / networking chips | 310.58 | | +10.64% | +66.26% | +7.27% | +265.92% | 50.3 | 25 as of 5/2 | 2,717 | ▼5 +2 |
| GLW Corningglass / fiber optics | 194.92 | | +10.40% | +8.04% | +11.13% | +123.37% | 46.6 | 18 as of 3/31 | 1,678 | ★ new ★ new |
| ASX ASEIC OSAT | 40.56 | | +10.22% | +27.99% | +8.33% | +151.93% | 28.3 | — | 905 | ★ new ★ new |
| AMD AMDCPU/GPU | 537.37 | | +10.02% | +20.06% | +4.86% | +150.92% | 41.0 | 49 as of 3/28 | 8,762 | ▼2 +2 |
*5D momentum list (5D gain > 10%): this period 31 → 19 names (converging onto a semiconductor / memory / power core, with many financials and industrials dropping off).WDC retains the top spot with 5D +40.99%, SPCX +37.04% 2nd, BE +32.16% newly 3rd.CEG jumped ▲17 in rank, QCOM ▲12, INTC / VRT ▲9 (power + foundry catch-up). The gain bar chart uses WDC's 5D +40.99% as the 100% baseline. Column and color-code notes are the same as the table above; Net income= sum of the last four quarters (TTM), in units of $100M; “as of M/D” is the end date of the latest reported quarter, updated after the next quarter's earnings.
🤖 AI Sub-sector Breakdown after 6/18 close · 20D average
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🧠 Memory / HDD 20D +45.9%
WDC +62.40%, STX +42.49%, MU +54.92%, SNDK +56.89%, INTC +12.63%. Firmly the top sub-sector; 6/18 revenge rally (SNDK +11.54% / MU +8.70% / WDC +4.79% / INTC +10.64%), with the strongest memory momentum.
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⚙ Semiconductor Equipment 20D +36.1%
AMAT +44.75%, KLAC +41.88%, LRCX +33.29%, ASML +24.49%. All four are on the 20D main list; 6/18 broad rebound (KLAC +8.73% / AMAT +4.08% / LRCX +3.97% / ASML +3.31%).
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💻 CPU / Mobile Chips 20D +29.0%
ARM +71.18%, AMD +20.06%, INTC +12.63%, QCOM +12.07%. ARM alone props up the average, +4.91% on 6/18 extending its strength; AMD +4.86% / INTC +10.64% / QCOM +6.17% exploded together.
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🔗 Logic / ASIC / Networking 20D +28.5%
MRVL +66.26%, ANET +20.77%, AVGO -1.53%. MRVL ranks 3rd on 20D, +7.27% strong bounce on 6/18; AVGO +4.70% (20D nearing positive), ANET +2.87% newly on the main list.
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🛡 AI Cybersecurity 20D +11.1%
PANW +16.67%, FTNT +11.33%, CRWD +5.35%. 6/18 recovered with the broad market (PANW +2.0% / FTNT +0.4% / CRWD +0.3%) — modest gains, lagging the semiconductor rebound.
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⚡ AI Power Infrastructure 20D +8.3%
GE +19.15%, ETN +11.08%, GEV +8.37%, VRT +5.53%, CEG -2.56%. 6/18 power broadly rebounded (GEV +5.80% / VRT +4.87% / CEG +2.58%); GEV / VRT / CEG entered the 5D momentum list.
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☁ Software / AI Cloud 20D -5.1%
SHOP +3.66%, ORCL -2.06%, APP -2.61%, PLTR -6.33%, NOW -8.00%, CRM -15.51%. At the bottom; 6/18 relatively lagging (APP -2.04% / PLTR -1.65% / ORCL +0.41%), and ACN's plunge highlighted software-services weakness.
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📊 Sub-sector Strength Ranking (20D average)
Memory / HDD +45.9% > Semiconductor Equipment +36.1% > CPU / Mobile Chips +29.0% (led by ARM) > Logic / ASIC / Networking +28.5% > AI Cybersecurity +11.1% > AI Power Infrastructure +8.3% > Software / AI Cloud -5.1% at the bottom. 6/18 “hardware strong, software weak” structure continued and deepened: semiconductors / memory / equipment staged a broad revenge rally, with memory/HDD and equipment leading; high-valuation software (CRM / NOW / PLTR) remained last on 20D, and ACN's plunge intensified software-services concerns.
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📈 Breadth Snapshot Top 200 by market cap · 6/18 advancers/decliners
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Advancers
117
about 59% (of the top 200 stocks); semiconductors / memory leading
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Decliners
83
about 41%; defense / energy / pharma / financials weak
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Advance/decline ratio
1.41 : 1
sharply stronger than 6/17 (1:2.7), breadth back positive
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*6/18 breadthback positive (1.41:1, 117 up vs 83 down): a sharp improvement from 6/17 (1:2.7, extremely weak), showing a “semiconductors / memory leading, risk appetite recovering” structure — gains concentrated in semiconductors / memory / equipment / power, while defense (bearish on peace), energy (weak oil), pharma / resources (strong dollar) and financials turned red. U.S.–Iran peace + the chip revenge rally + the pullback in yields were the main drivers of breadth turning positive.
🔁 6/17 → 6/18 Change Tracker
| Stock |
6/17 close (back-calculated) |
6/18 close |
6/18 change |
Change highlights |
| BE Bloom Energy | $284.98 | $328.91 | +15.41% | the day's strongest gainer; fuel cell / AI power theme exploded, newly on the 5D list |
| SNDK SanDisk | $1,958.72 | $2,184.75 | +11.54% | broke above $2,000; NAND leading gains, 20D 5th |
| GLW Corning | $175.40 | $194.92 | +11.13% | fiber-optic / glass materials surged, newly on the 5D list |
| INTC Intel | $121.10 | $133.99 | +10.64% | foundry theme strengthened, 5D +14.56% catch-up |
| KLAC KLA | $238.72 | $259.56 | +8.73% | equipment bounced strongly, 20D +41.88%, 10th on the main list |
| MU Micron | $1,043.23 | $1,133.99 | +8.70% | revenge rally to a new high; counting down to 6/24 earnings, 20D 6th |
| AVGO Broadcom | $392.89 | $411.35 | +4.70% | AI ASIC kept bouncing, 20D -1.53% nearing positive |
| NVDA Nvidia | $204.65 | $210.69 | +2.95% | AI heavyweight reclaimed $210; 20D -5.61% still to repair |
| DELL Dell | $419.31 | $409.50 | -2.34% | profit-taking from a high base; 20D +68.57% still 2nd |
| IBM IBM | $364.94 | $346.51 | -5.05% | led software-services declines; ACN's plunge dragged down the IT consulting group |
*The 6/17→6/18 theme shifted from “hawkish FOMC, mega-cap tech sell-off” to “semiconductor revenge rally + U.S.–Iran peace”: chips rallied for two straight days, SMH +5.76% recovered lost ground, memory / storage / equipment exploded across the board (SNDK +11.54% / MU +8.70% / INTC +10.64% / KLAC +8.73%), and NVDA / AVGO recovered together; but defense (bearish on peace), software services (IBM / ACN) and financials turned red. 20D main list 16 → 17 names (dropping GE, adding ASX / ANET); 5D momentum list 31 → 19 names. The prior day's close is back-calculated as 6/18 close ÷ (1 + 6/18 change%).
📝 Summary Core conclusions after the 6/18 close
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① Market structure: The day after the hawkish FOMC dot plot, semiconductors staged a revenge rally and the U.S.–Iran peace deal added a boost; all three indices closed green:Dow +0.14% to 51,564.70, S&P +1.08% to 7,500.58, Nasdaq +1.91% to 26,517.93, SMH +5.76% leading, Russell +2.12%.VIX plunged -11.06% to 16.40, the 10Y yield pulled back from its high to ~4.45%, DXY held at 100.81. Breadth turned positive (117 up vs 83 down, 1.41:1) — a rebound session of “semiconductors / memory leading, risk appetite recovering.”
② Theme 1: Semiconductor revenge rally, memory group explodes: chips, already strong against the trend the prior day, exploded further across the board, SMH +5.76%. Memory / storage (SNDK +11.54%, MU +8.70%, WDC +4.79%) + foundry / analog / equipment (INTC +10.64%, TSM +6.94%, TXN +6.95%, KLAC +8.73%) soared. Capital confirmed the continuation of the “rate hikes hit software, money rotates back into low-valuation chips” rotation, with low-valuation memory (MU 9.9x / SNDK 11.9x) most favored; the memory / HDD sector's 20D average +45.9% remains firmly the top sub-sector.
③ Theme 2: U.S.–Iran peace + digesting Fed hawkishness, risk appetite recovers: The U.S. ended its blockade of Iran and reached a peace deal; the geopolitical premium unwound, VIX plunged -11.06% back to 16.40, Russell led gains, breadth turned positive. The day after the hawkish FOMC, the market chose to digest rate-hike expectations and yields pulled back from their highs. However, defense stocks saw profit-taking (LMT -4.01%, RTX -3.62%, GD -3.53%), oil lingered at low levels, and a strong dollar pressured resources and pharma (BHP / RIO / GSK / NVS).
④ Theme 3: Software-services weakness, ACN plunges: ACN (Accenture) plunged about -18% intraday after earnings, IBM -5.05% led software-services declines, highlighting capital's fears over “AI replacing enterprise IT consulting”; the software / AI cloud 20D average -5.1% remained last among sub-sectors (CRM -15.51% / NOW -8.00% / PLTR -6.33%). Caught between rate hikes and AI-monetization doubts, high-valuation software remains the weakest link.
⑤ List changes: 20D main list 16 → 17 names (dropping GE, adding ASX / ANET); ARM retains the top spot with +71.18%, DELL +68.57% 2nd, MRVL +66.26% 3rd, SNDK jumped ▲5 in rank. 5D momentum list 31 → 19 names (converging onto a semiconductor / memory / power core, with many financials and industrials dropping off, CEG ▲17 / QCOM ▲12 catch-up). Sub-sectors: Memory/HDD +45.9% > Semiconductor Equipment +36.1% > CPU / Mobile Chips +29.0% > Logic/ASIC/Networking +28.5% > AI Cybersecurity +11.1% > AI Power +8.3% > Software / AI Cloud -5.1% at the bottom.
⑥ Conclusion & This Week's Strategy: The day after the hawkish FOMC, the market chose to digest rate hikes and buy back low-valuation chips; semiconductors staged a revenge rally, the U.S.–Iran peace deal lifted risk appetite, breadth turned positive and VIX plunged. On positioning: memory / storage / equipment, with low valuations (MU 9.9x / SNDK 11.9x) and price-hike fundamentals, remain the core, and HDD (WDC / STX) has the strongest momentum; 6/24 MU earningsare a key battle for memory bulls — leave room for volatility ahead of the report; NVDA / AVGO have 20D repair pending and may be watched for catch-up gains; high-valuation software (CRM / NOW / PLTR) stays weak under rate hikes + AI-monetization doubts, ACN's plunge is a warning sign, and chasing should be restrained.Tonight 6/19 closed for Juneteenth, the next trading day is 6/22 (Mon); watch the durability of the ceasefire, the direction of yields and the 6/26 PCE.
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Sources: Futu U.S. top-200-by-market-cap list (6/18 close), Yahoo Finance (indices / ETFs / risk indicators / Fwd P/E / net income), CNN Fear & Greed Index (estimated).
This report is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. All percentages are Futu / Yahoo actuals; F&G and S&P / NDX PE are non-real-time, estimated figures.
DAILY US EQUITY · 2026-06-19 (6/18 U.S. close)
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